tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30473460.post6868812043507329572..comments2022-05-03T11:56:26.611+02:00Comments on The Daily Sketch: Reply to Oliver Kamm, "A dangerous fantasy"David Sketchleyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00838032163864170821noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30473460.post-45714052566427321652007-12-05T11:41:00.000+01:002007-12-05T11:41:00.000+01:00Thanks nickelweight.You say the NIE says it did. T...Thanks nickelweight.<BR/><BR/>You say the NIE says it did. That's not actually correct my friend.<BR/><BR/>The NIE itself states: "NIEs usually provide information on the current state of play but are primarily “estimative”—that is, they make judgments"<BR/>and this:<BR/>"We use phrases such as we judge, we assess, and we estimate—and probabilistic terms such as<BR/>probably and likely—to convey analytical assessments and judgments. Such statements are not<BR/>facts, proof, or knowledge. These assessments and judgments generally are based on collected<BR/>information, which often is incomplete or fragmentary. Some assessments are built on previous<BR/>judgments. In all cases, assessments and judgments are not intended to imply that we have<BR/>“proof” that shows something to be a fact or that definitively links two items or issues."<BR/><BR/>and this:<BR/><BR/>"A “high confidence” judgment is not a fact or a certainty, however, and such judgments still<BR/>carry a risk of being wrong."<BR/><BR/>Leading to this: "We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons<BR/>program1;"<BR/><BR/>If I were you if I wanted to know what the NIE says I would read it myself not just reports of it in the press. We know that the press distorts the truth for its own ends...<BR/><BR/>You can read the NIE by clicking here:<BR/>http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20071203_release.pdfDavid Sketchleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00838032163864170821noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30473460.post-84261929929259488992007-12-04T21:13:00.000+01:002007-12-04T21:13:00.000+01:00"there is no proof that Iran has or ever has had a..."there is no proof that Iran has or ever has had a nuclear weapons programme".<BR/><BR/>er, but the NIE says it did. You speak Farsi, do you?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com